It’ll finally answer the age old question:

Is their ideology primarily driven by being pro-Russia/China or is it primarily driven by being anti-America?

Or since they seem to not mind getting Trump elected, and support capitalist dictatorships, is it simply pro-authoritarianism?

I too trust Russian Bots over real people /s

This is honestly the most terrying thing I’ve read all day. What have Putin and Trump told Musk that led to this decision?

*Soft men made me hard again wink

Same. I can’t see you as allies if you throw trans people, immigrants, disabled people and homeless people under the bus to protest a policy that will be even worse under the opposition.

Sorry but is there a source for this poll? I’m curious how this data was collected? (And am always skeptical of data cited in a toot without a source).

Edit: Just saw it is said to be YouGov survey from June with a small sample size, although no link is provided.

China and Russia doing that to all of their neighbours except themselves

The damn capitalist fish.

As deserved. The pony handouts aren’t going to happen by themselves.

I looked it up on wikipedia and they were banned in Russia haha. Probably a good proxy for how good a news source is.

Yeah.

“They fucked up”. Means they did something really bad.

As far as I know while “fucking up” can be used in cases of accidents it generally implies culpability and that is the way in which I intended to use it.

Man I honestly kind of miss MBFC. I know it’s biased but for a source like “The Moscow Times” a quick glance would be perfect to tell me if this is russian propaganda or a legitimate news site.

Yeah. They did something terrible. I think we’re both on the same page here.

The kid fucked up.

They should be rehabilitated slowly and serve their time and then be reintegrated into society when they show they are ready to be and have served sufficient time.

They shouldn’t be thrown away for 70 years.

Well in my ideal system (a form of decentralised anarchy) there is no “top”.

Or maybe a broken political and economic system is causing a gathering of wealth in the hands of the 1% which is a major factor behind both climate change and increasing authoritarianism

Yes but these are definitely hypotheses. Fivethirtyeight has extensively covered it. In 2016 they covered it a lot, did a post-mortem on the election, and said the industry said they’ll fix it for next time, then in 2020 we got even worse polling errors.

I miss Nate from the fivethirtyeight days. It’s sad to see his model paywalled.

Random but if you’re a polling nerd this site is a godsend: https://swingstates.vercel.app/

its based on the 538 API, they also have a mastodon and bsky bot

This cycle a lot of polling has oversamples GOP. And they are using a new technique wherein they weight polls based on previous vote. Which is interesting I guess. Anyways, we’ll see what happens in a week.

Shy Trump voter is the main theory about why pollsters consistently underestimate Trump.

A good part of Trump voters are idiots who brag about it. But there’s a decent chunk who thinks he’s an arse, but are deluded into thinking that he’d be better for immigration/the economy or whatever and vote for him without telling anyone because they are embarrassed.

That’s likely a really low percentage unfortunately.

I think the estimates are only 2-4% of Trump 2016 voters voted Biden 2020.

But there definitely is something to the “shy Trump voter” theory.