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Cake day: December 1st, 2023

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  • The Japanese public are definitely not willing to lend to the government at such low interest rates. The majority holder of Japanese bonds is the Bank of Japan, who needs to purchase large amounts of bonds to conduct its monetary policy. This has lead to some accusations of the two having an incestuous relationship, when central banks are supposed to be independent.

    Before the Bank of Japan started hiking interest rates, most Japanese people were stuck in a liquidity trap, where they had to pay to store money in the bank. This was due to a combination of low/negative interest rates, and lots of banking fees due to the oligopolistic banking sector. 7-eleven (the convenience store) bank is unironically the fastest growing bank there, in no small part because they were the only bank with a wide ATM network which didn’t charge fees during business hours.

    It is certainly… interesting that the Japanese government, with access to such cheap credit, decides to invest it abroad for higher returns, rather than invest it domestically and pursuing structural reforms to improve its own growth, and in doing so perpetuating the spread between government assets and liabilities.

    FYI there are a lot of investors who do this exact trade, i.e. borrow cheap money from Japan, and invest it abroad.


  • Japanese conservative monarchists are wild.

    Look up the Google Maps reviews of the imperial palace. For some context, the majority of the imperial palace is completely off limits to the general public (in stark contrast to most developed countries), and the royal family does a new years greeting.

    The reviews are monarchists unironically saying things like that they travelled for days, lined up for hours, caught a glimpse of one of the royal family, were temporarily transported to heaven, and will dedicate their lives hoping for the forever prosperity of the royal family.









  • Bloomberg is stock market brained, but more generally China’s extremely high savings rate is regarded as a bad thing, because this is usually due to the combination of high income inequality, low social safety nets, and high housing costs.

    Basically, there are too many poor households in China that are saving excessively due to anxieties about lack of safety nets and high housing costs.

    Low education/financial literacy and poor regulation of financial markets also make Chinese households very risk averse to consuming, investing, or even taking out loans (credit cards are very unpopular). Everyone is just excessively dumping their savings in assets perceived to be safe.

    Once savings are in “safe” assets, they are inaccessible to other productive uses like startups or other loans. This is the exact opposite of a productive economy, and is what the article tried to convey.

    China’s high savings: Drivers, prospects, and policy implications - ScienceDirect - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1566014125001049




  • South Korea is infamous for very high cost of living, especially considering the very low salaries.

    You can check numbeo for more specific comparisons, but Seoul and Busan are only 20% and 30% cheaper in terms of cost of living compared to Atlanta GA, respectively. Not nearly enough to make up the salary difference.

    The fact there there are migrant workers already tells you the situation. People’s behaviour generally follow economic incentives. There’s a reason why South Korea is struggling with emigration.